AlfieMoon

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  1. I think you're playing on a bit of an overly dramatic stereotype of 'the right'. There's plenty of (centre-)'right' votes that SNP can get within reason. It takes being honest with themselves that things like the £43k tax threshold differing from UK doesn't help & there's other policies they would need question themselves on. Failure on CAP payments doesn't help. Mixed messages on EU for fishing communities doesn't help. Demonising Tories as the enemy in Indyref was one of the SNP's biggest mistakes. It alienated a sizeable % of voters in Scotland and was very short-term in vision. It turned off many aspiring middle classes wealth creators who felt they were being swept towards a socialist country as all the sounds from SNP were geared towards mopping up the masses of the Labour vote. Political parties play the percentages and SNP thought that was their best chance of victory. Maybe it was, but they drew a line in the sand for Tory voters. They have repeated the same mistake with Brexit/Leave voters by being so strong in their position. Again it has resulted in a %age of Scottish voters feeling backed into a corner. They thought they'd get a Brexit bounce but it's been net neutral. They should really have had the completeness of vision to adopt EFTA as an obvious middle ground. The whole shitfest of the situation now with Davidson & the Tories purposeful Ulsterisation of Scottish politics is just crap. The GE is going to be the final nail and then it's a case of buckle yourself in for 5 more years of crap. I can't help wishing that Scottish Labour had the backbone to have allowed some honest and open Yes support in their ranks during Indyref and equally had anything/something constructive to say as a voice on the Brexit debate at UK level then we'd not be where we are just now. They've been on the sidelines since 2014 and it plays into Tory hands at every level of UK politics.
  2. She'll be thinking that this is ideal opportunity to increase majority over Labour and also nick some seats from SNP. Winning SNP seats will allow them to make great political gain from trotting out the lines that's Scotland doesn't want a referendum and SNP are on the slide.
  3. Difficult situation for the SNP with no obvious resolution. Looks to me like the Tories are trying to push it out to post 2020 (Westminster) and 2021 (Holyrood) elections in hope that they can wipe out SNP mandate by winning more pro-union seats to wipe out the Indy majority. They'll look to mop up Leave, Union and ex-Lab votes to make the next parliamentary elections increasingly SNP (independence) vs Tory (union). Labour will suffer again. Maybe in 2021 they will finally detach from their pro-Union stance. At that point they'll have had another 5 year Tory Westminster government confirmed just 12 months previously. Only thing I can see in SNP's control to force the situation is to call an early election. I don't think that's wise. The only reason to do it would be to secure a mandate. They already have a mandate. Calling an early election would be a climb down - something they shouldn't do. All the while, the age demographic will continue to tip to Yes.
  4. Absolutely pointless exercise with zero credibility. It's as simple as that.
  5. Ineffectual is the exact word. We don't have enough players that are brave enough on the ball. Too content to play slow, safe balls and not take the game on. The full Celtic contingent will surely start on Sunday.
  6. IMO our electorate is closer in vision to England/U.K. than we are to Norway. I'd love us to be able to win on the vision of a high-tax, high standard public services society that brings the improved levels of happiness and equality as per Scandinavia. Problem is, we're miles away from that and there's no real appetite. We're shaped in the global, capitalist world. Want everything today. Made in Chelsea, Karadashians, and all the other pish. Our society has not been shaped towards achieving equality and happiness. The only concept of happiness and achievement is defined as wealth achievement and collection of material goods. Any proposition to majorly increase taxes would be shot down at present. Maybe independence would provide the opportunity but it really would require parties to press the reset button and become less power focussed. I'm not sure if that's feasible. There is at least a better chance of achieving it in a small outward-looking independent country with a PR parliament. One that is no longer stuck in the shadow of a once great Imperial powerhouse desperately clinging to its history and focussed on an economic strategy prioritising London/Finance above all else.
  7. He's now saying that the devolved assemblies should have the powers to strike agreements with other countries on the areas he is suggesting we get powers on (i.e. Agriculture, fishing, etc.).... That's not even federalism. Federalism is accepted as having reserved foreign affairs and trade. He's just making crazy shit up!!
  8. Nope. One of the rags already has the bones of the story. He's going to suggest that we get the powers from Brussels (fisheries, agriculture, etc.) direct to Holyrood. Common sense would say this should be happening by default anyway but indications have been that May/Westminster may grab these post-Brexit. He's also going to say that we should be allowed to set VAT in Scotland and that the removal of EU fair competitions rules should see Scottish shipbuilding flourish. With all of that - Brexit apparently is the ideal opportunity for Scotland to be better in the Union and out of the EU.
  9. Don't worry folks. Gordon Brown is coming to the rescue tomorrow.
  10. One of the funniest things about this whole episode is the rage that Mundell has been working himself into for weeks whilst repeating the mantra that there is a process to be followed for a request of a section 30 order. That was his party line when Andrew Neil, Gordon Brewer, etc. were pushing to ask if the Tories would reject a referendum Then as soon as Sturgeon indicates her intention, before it even gets to Holyrood debate or vote to approve a request for section 30, Mundell is the mug in front of the press saying they'll reject the request/timeline before the due process has even got underway. In all seriousness though - he looks less stable with every passing interview. Someone in the Tory party should be keeping an eye that he's not about to have a breakdown.
  11. The UK government refused to pre-negotiate last time for the independence referendum. Now it seems that they want the Scots to have all the facts for post-Brexit Britain. That's a contradiction right there I'm afraid. Especially when the Brexit vote went ahead without the known outcomes. However, them now seemingly showing such consideration for us in this manner should mean that there's no problem in opening the books and pre-negotiation an independence settlement. If their interest is Scotland being accurately informed then this seems a fair expectation. We will know all division of assets and liabilities, Crown estate, defence/Trident, border & trading arrangements, etc. This will remove a lot of the uncertainty of independence and I'm sure the Tory government will happily oblige given their newly established interest in Scottish voters having all the facts. What do you think the chances of that are?
  12. I thought he was pretty decent as well. Was expecting him to be a loonball but he came across pretty reasonable and made decent points. Thought the panel were fine overall, with the exception of Angela Eagle. Shambles at the first section on Indy where the majority of the panel and all of the audience hostile to Indy and JC was being hampered from answering each point due to Dimbleby having to spread the speaking time. That's just seriously flawed in such a one-sided, hostile environment. She did well to highlight the sneering ignorance from the fud on the currency question.
  13. I think this is a good strategy by the Tories. It's shifts the arguments from a choice between 2 change scenarios to a situation where the post-Brexit environment is normalised and the concept of Indy is once again a change scenario from the (then) status quo. Also on the timeline, it means that it is completely 100% the Tories gift to give and judge when they think it is suitable. Even when Brexit is settled, they can simply say that the UK then needs to move onto a period of stability to make post-Brexit UK work... before you (Scots) are allowed to judge. It is going to be about how much political gain Sturgeon can make from this. This episode shines a light on the democratic deficit and in that there is no union of equality or respect. This is my concern in whether or not Sturgeon can make enough political gain in tipping the polls. The Yes side will say 'see - I told you so', and the No supporters will rally joyously to the side of the PM and Ruth Davidson. Labour will continue to stand anonymously on the sidelines (supporting, but not gaining from the situation) and any soft/undecided are people essentially with their heads in the sand. When Brexit is settled these people will likely be lost as potential Yes votes as they will once again adverse to change. If Sturgeon can gain even 2-3 points of support in the polls I reckon she'll be doing well. At least any extension/delay will aid the demographics of the vote.
  14. It doesn't matter to them that it is a lie. It's simply an attempt to conflate Indy and Salmond. Still running it on their news banner but still not a single mention of where the accusation has come from.