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Nicola says pro-Independence must show 60% consistently in the polls before we go for Indy2. We have been achieving this since the May General Election. So, why are we waiting and what are the consequences if we miss the bus?

The SNP answer is the polling support would disappear in the event of an absence of the Gold-Standard-Rolls-Royce referendum that we “need” in order to assert our self-determination.

Meantime Westminster vote to renew Trident whilst laughing at the impotence of our 56 SNP MP’s. Trident clearly deters Daesh. NOT. Concurrently, Westminster scheme to support NATO in their move to commit to boots-on-the-ground war in the Middle East using NATO Article 5 as a result of the Daesh attacks on France ; Article 5 determines attack one NATO country you attack them all. France has already stated the attack was “la guerre” so UK is obliged to join in. Does austerity get worse if we have to pay for “la guerre”? Mais, oui, mes petits-chouxs.

So while we wait here are a few things to consider and discuss.

http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/snp-hold-30-point-lead-in-new-ipsos.html

Averaging James Kelly’s “poll of polls” (based on the LATEST polls from five companies) Constituency/Regional figures show SNP on 50% + Greens on 7%. Additionally, at least 17 polls since May GE show an average SNP 52%, Greens 8%, RISE/SSP 3%, totalling 63%. For the sake of argument, pro-Indy at 57% + 63% average is 60%.

Let’s reverse the logic. Focus on the $hit performance of the Enema. Labour 21%, Tory 15%, Libdem 5%, UKIP 2%, totalling 43%. Are they likely to improve in Scotland in the few months left before Holyrood 2016? Can anyone honestly see them improving beyond 45%?

Labour are currently indulging in vicious foreplay before blood on the walls of the Regional List decision room. None of them want to stand as a Constituency candidate evidenced by the Glaswegian public-school Hutchie Grammar Socialist Sarwar making his play this week or Rowley’s U-turn to get on the List (Deputy Branch Leader BTW !) Labour voted against allowing family credit to be devolved. WTF is their position on Trident? Labour will be fortunate to take 20% in May 2016. They are the STRONGEST Loyalist party yet they are in complete tatters.

SNP hold 95% of Westminster seats. Based on the above figures Pro-Indy parties may take 80 MSP seats of 131, or minimum 60% of seats.

UDI is very unlikely to be declared in May 2016. Why the fvk not ? “Why are we waiting”?

Still we’ve got The Trump to look forward to as US President with Osborne or Boris as PM……………..can anyone hear the skirl of the pipes and the rattle o’ the drum as we’re told what bonnie fichters we are for the Westminster/DC led NATO Empire………………tick, tock, tick, tock…………….

UDI anyone?

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Pro-independence parties may be polling at 60% but support for independence itself is only just pushing 50%.

OK. So what is actually stopping the pro-indy parties for going from self=government ?

The UN Charter, Chapter 1 Principles & Purposes ,Article 1, "The purposes of the UN are: To develop friendly relations among nations based on respect for the principle of equal rights and self-determination of all peoples." No mention of a requirement for a Referendum.

Catalonia is going for UDI in December in spite of Madrid's opposition. For the life on me I don't know why we aren't doing the same. Feart we lose ??? Hope over fear. Aain. And again. And again.

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OK. So what is actually stopping the pro-indy parties for going from self=government ?

The UN Charter, Chapter 1 Principles & Purposes ,Article 1, "The purposes of the UN are: To develop friendly relations among nations based on respect for the principle of equal rights and self-determination of all peoples." No mention of a requirement for a Referendum.

Catalonia is going for UDI in December in spite of Madrid's opposition. For the life on me I don't know why we aren't doing the same. Feart we lose ??? Hope over fear. Aain. And again. And again.

Probably because the approximate (at this stage only based on polls) 50% of the population who still aren't convinved to vote Yes in a referendum wouldn't be too keen on having it unilaterally forced upon them. As others have said, the 2014 referendum set the precedent and that's how we'll eventually get independence.

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not gonna happen,

nor should it IMO.

we have set the standard, we need to abide by it.

It will be Indy ref 2 in 2022/23.

Yeah. In the meantime the lives of the people need to become a bit less comfortable (thanks Tories) and some old people need to die off (thanks nature).

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UDI is only possible in a scenario where we would comfortably win a ref with more than 60% but Westminster refused to allow a ballot as it is a reserved matter.

Until this arises talk of UDI is delusional and counterproductive, need to persuade soft No voters, not foist indy onto them.

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The only time I would support udi is at some hypertherical future where Westminster consistently block a poll, Scottish government runs a consultative poll and results are 60+ in favour for independence.

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