Clyde1998 Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/297729-stv-poll-labour-would-annihilated-if-general-election-held-tomorrow/ SNP - 52% - 54 seats (+48) LAB - 23% - 4 seats (-37) CON - 10% - 0 seats (-1) LIB - 6% - 1 seat (-10) GRN - 6% UKIP - 2% Others - 1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auld_Reekie Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 That is an incredible poll. Fanciful, but incredible. There is no way whatsoever Labour will collapse as badly as this. hilarious in the meantime though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted October 30, 2014 Author Share Posted October 30, 2014 That is an incredible poll. Fanciful, but incredible. There is no way whatsoever Labour will collapse as badly as this. hilarious in the meantime though. It is - but the SNP will have a media blackout come April/May time. Would love it to happen though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintlyscot Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Around 20 seats would still represent success and further hasten the end for labour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShedTA Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Plenty of time left yet for the establishment and the media to make sure this doesnt happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neilser Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Savour these words: Those who would lose their seat include Jim Murphy, who is standing to be the next leader of Scottish Labour, Douglas Alexander and Margaret Curran, according to seat predictor electoralcalculus.co.uk. The Liberal Democrats would lose all but one of their seats, with only Scottish secretary Alistair Carmichael surviving and high-profile victims including Danny Alexander and Charles Kennedy. I've got quite a lot of time for Charles Kennedy but the rest can go and themselves. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 "The only Scottish Labour MPs who would survive would be Willie Bain in Glasgow North East, Tom Clarke in Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill, Gordon Brown in Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath and Ian Davidson in Glasgow South West." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ibelieve!!! Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Part of me thinks all this build up is so when they "only" win around 20 it can be called a failure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Scotland Tonight will certainly be interesting this evening discussing this one. If it did happen it would be one of the most dramatic electoral swings in UK history. Come election time though I can't see the SNP making anything like these gains. Although I would say some of the Labour MPs it says would keep their seats (eg. Ian Davidson) could be struggling given Glasgow's move to Yes. Makes me wonder about how much consideration of local factors Electoral Calculus takes?... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfieMoon Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Seems very far fetched. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted October 30, 2014 Author Share Posted October 30, 2014 Scotland Tonight will certainly be interesting this evening discussing this one. If it did happen it would be one of the most dramatic electoral swings in UK history. Come election time though I can't see the SNP making anything like these gains. Although I would say some of the Labour MPs it says would keep their seats (eg. Ian Davidson) could be struggling given Glasgow's move to Yes. Makes me wonder about how much consideration of local factors Electoral Calculus takes?... There is a complex calculation that the Electoral Calculus uses to workout the results of seats using the polling data, the previous election and the most recent local election(s) in the constituency. The site should hopefully update itself next month to show how the likelihood of winning each seat has changed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Unbeliveable. Not going to happen and I think if they can at least double their MPs - it's a good campaign. If they could get anything more than 20 it would be extra ordinary. I think Kennedy will keep his Lib seat. Imagine Sarwar, Mags, Murphy, Alexander all oot the door in May! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Khana Lagur Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/297729-stv-poll-labour-would-annihilated-if-general-election-held-tomorrow/ SNP - 52% - 54 seats (+48) LAB - 23% - 4 seats (-37) CON - 10% - 0 seats (-1) LIB - 6% - 1 seat (-10) GRN - 6% UKIP - 2% Others - 1% Imagine the SNP being Westminster's kingmaker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Surprised to see UKIP only on 2% given the media exposure they get. They might have a big impact on the Unionist vote by splitting it 4 ways and reducing the impact of tactical voting against the SNP. If the SNP & Greens were to stand together the swing would be even greater... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maq Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Imagine Sarwar, Mags, Murphy, Alexander all oot the door in May! That would be fukkin glorious. Not gonna happen though. If I had to pick one to get the bullet, can't decide who I'd want? Probably Alexander. Sarwar a close 2nd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flora MaDonald Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 If that cow Cuuran gets papped, there is a party at mine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Apparently, MORI was so shocked by this Scotland poll result it did the research again with a bigger sample - and got the same answer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Och Aye Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Makes the No vote more..choosing my words carefully.. puzzling. And Ian Feckin Davidson likely to keep his seat??!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
antidote Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 It doesn't bode well for the treacherous Labour party. I'm sure I read somewhere today that in the lRochdale by election 45% of Labour supporters will vote for ukip. If this is the case then Miliband is toast. Things can only get better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted October 30, 2014 Author Share Posted October 30, 2014 It doesn't bode well for the treacherous Labour party. I'm sure I read somewhere today that in the lRochdale by election 45% of Labour supporters will vote for ukip. If this is the case then Miliband is toast. Things can only get better. Rochester http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Rochester_&_Strood_published_tables_Oct_2014.pdf This poll has got 30% of Labour voters from 2010 voting UKIP. Labour are in trouble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted October 30, 2014 Author Share Posted October 30, 2014 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auld_Reekie Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 This is too early for Labour to be in trouble IMO. Worried they still have time to ditch Miliband before May. Hope they get an absolute pasting in Scotland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 GORDON'S ALIVE!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maq Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Rochester http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Rochester_&_Strood_published_tables_Oct_2014.pdf This poll has got 30% of Labour voters from 2010 voting UKIP. Labour are in trouble. Hmm - can't figure that out! What's the headline figures? Percentages for the parties? (Sorry I couldn't figure out how to understand the tables!) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Laud Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 I would crawl on my hands and knees to see the declaration if ian davidson got voted out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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