Indyref2 - Anything Goes - Other topics not covered elsewhere - Tartan Army Message Board Jump to content

Recommended Posts

STV News running with new poll that suggests two thirds of Scots support another independence referendum within 10 years! That's mental. Can only mean the No vote was a "DevoMax or else".

Great to see pollsters running this stuff - will ensure the pressure is kept on and therefore independence at forefront of public debate.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmmm.

We should be careful of this nonsense. It wouldn't surprise me if this was just another piece of Unionist crap that they'll use to paint the SNP as 'extremists' come the next elections.

Sturgeon should avoid trumpeting these results around, and should get on with the business of governing Scotland sensibly with substantial new powers. That'll do more for the independence movement than any daft poll.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I dont think you are far wrong

Hmmm.

We should be careful of this nonsense. It wouldn't surprise me if this was just another piece of Unionist crap that they'll use to paint the SNP as 'extremists' come the next elections.

Sturgeon should avoid trumpeting these results around, and should get on with the business of governing Scotland sensibly with substantial new powers. That'll do more for the independence movement than any daft poll.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmmm.

We should be careful of this nonsense. It wouldn't surprise me if this was just another piece of Unionist crap that they'll use to paint the SNP as 'extremists' come the next elections.

Sturgeon should avoid trumpeting these results around, and should get on with the business of governing Scotland sensibly with substantial new powers. That'll do more for the independence movement than any daft poll.

Fair points Rossy.

Along with the GE2015 polling results, they do seem too good to be true. As you said, the SNP should get focused on doing their day job. Another referendum will happen when it feels right.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmmm.

We should be careful of this nonsense. It wouldn't surprise me if this was just another piece of Unionist crap that they'll use to paint the SNP as 'extremists' come the next elections.

Sturgeon should avoid trumpeting these results around, and should get on with the business of governing Scotland sensibly with substantial new powers. That'll do more for the independence movement than any daft poll.

correct but i would add i havent seen evidence of sturgeon trumpeting this. like you i hope she doesnt. softly softly for now i think.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think Rossy's right.

SNP should focus on governing decent in Scotland, sit in and be constructive with the crubs from Smith, whilst fighting the GE for more devolution (devo max if you wish).

Basically heid doon and power on. It's a pretty exciting time and those polls are spectacular, but we all know it'll be very very tight in May and Labour have some massive majorities to be over-turned.

Put a new referendum on the back burner for now, but circumstances change dramatically, and there is no such thing as a settled will of any nation - so we could well have one in the future if something dramatic like Britain leaving the EU happens, further strained relations between the regions etc.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've just seen the data tables. It's weighted based on the Westminster polling figures from yesterday - so SNP supporters make up around 50% of the poll result. Take the SNP out - and it's a huge number not wanting another referendum.

Why would you take 50% of the electorate out?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wouldn't want another referendum unless a Yes vote was an absolute shoo-in....

Yep. Next time will be from a position of strength. I don't care if it takes 15 years. We have always played the long game.

I'm saying that it probably shouldn't be weighted based on an opinion poll, but should be weighted based on the last Scottish election.

Would the polling company do this on the orders of the people that paid for the poll, knowing it would give a skewed result?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Rossy is spot on. Govern Scotland well using whatever additional powers come out of Smith and maximise the vote in the next UK general elections; let UKIP and the Tories use EVEL and the EU to create chaos. The SNP needs to exploit the weakness of the unionist parties, but it also needs to avoid being seen not to have accepted the referendum result. The UK is falling apart anyway.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We cannot have another referendum where we need to have Westminster's agreement to monetary union's and the like.

We need to establish the viability of setting up our own central bank etc

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Apparently a new poll puts support for indy in the lead:

http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/scottish-politics/new-poll-scotland-would-back-indy-if-fresh-vote-was-held-now.1414830607

Personally, I think the SNP should keep independence on the back burner - for the time being.

Aye.

See what Smith offers (probably not much). Fight for Devo in 15 and 16, and see what happens from there.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmmm.

We should be careful of this nonsense. It wouldn't surprise me if this was just another piece of Unionist crap that they'll use to paint the SNP as 'extremists' come the next elections.

Sturgeon should avoid trumpeting these results around, and should get on with the business of governing Scotland sensibly with substantial new powers. That'll do more for the independence movement than any daft poll.

The only problem with that is "substantial new powers".

Link to comment
Share on other sites

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/fyv6pya3md/Times-results-141030-scotland-FULL.pdf

If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? (Yes by category)

Total:

  • Yes - 52%
  • No - 48%

Westminster Voting Intention:

  • CON - 4%
  • LAB - 18%
  • LIB - 21%
  • SNP - 98%
  • UKIP - 29%

2010 Vote:

  • CON - 10%
  • LAB - 46%
  • LIB - 54%
  • SNP - 86%

Holyrood Voting Intention

  • CON - 1%
  • LAB - 13%
  • LIB - 17%
  • SNP - 97%

Holyrood Vote 2011:

  • CON - 11%
  • LAB - 33%
  • LIB - 31%
  • SNP - 83%

Referendum Vote:

  • Yes - 98%
  • No - 8%

Gender:

  • Male - 56%
  • Female - 50%

Age:

  • 18-24 - 50%
  • 25-39 - 58%
  • 40-59 - 54%
  • 60+ - 47%

Social Grade:

  • ABC1 - 47%
  • C2DE - 58%

Place of Birth:

  • Scotland - 57%
  • rUK - 28%
  • Other - 39%
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We cannot have another referendum where we need to have Westminster's agreement to monetary union's and the like.

We need to establish the viability of setting up our own central bank etc

or just eschew a central bank and issue money without interest. the below is a history of how central banking evolved and offers an alternative that Milton Friedman found compelling

http://www.themoneymasters.com/

It's literally dozens of hours reading however it will give people a better understanding of central banking, it eventually breaks off and becomes american-centric, but the journalist is American, however our economies are very similar.

"As you know, I am entirely sympathetic with the objectives of your Monetary Reform Act...You deserve a great deal of credit for carrying through so thoroughly on your own conception…I am impressed by your persistence and attention to detail in your successive revisions..Best wishes, Milton Friedman Nobel Laureate in Economics; Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HfpO-WBz_mw

Link to comment
Share on other sites

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/fyv6pya3md/Times-results-141030-scotland-FULL.pdf

If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? (Yes by category)

Total:

  • Yes - 52%
  • No - 48%

Westminster Voting Intention:

  • CON - 4%
  • LAB - 18%
  • LIB - 21%
  • SNP - 98%
  • UKIP - 29%

2010 Vote:

  • CON - 10%
  • LAB - 46%
  • LIB - 54%
  • SNP - 86%

Holyrood Voting Intention

  • CON - 1%
  • LAB - 13%
  • LIB - 17%
  • SNP - 97%

Holyrood Vote 2011:

  • CON - 11%
  • LAB - 33%
  • LIB - 31%
  • SNP - 83%

Referendum Vote:

  • Yes - 98%
  • No - 8%

Gender:

  • Male - 56%
  • Female - 50%

Age:

  • 18-24 - 50%
  • 25-39 - 58%
  • 40-59 - 54%
  • 60+ - 47%

Social Grade:

  • ABC1 - 47%
  • C2DE - 58%

Place of Birth:

  • Scotland - 57%
  • rUK - 28%
  • Other - 39%

That makes no sense at all. What are the figures of 83%-98% for the SNP referring to? Percentages don't add up to 100.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That makes no sense at all. What are the figures of 83%-98% for the SNP referring to? Percentages don't add up to 100.

These are the yes percentages.

So 98% of people who intend to vote SNP now would vote yes, but 83% of those who voted SNP in 2010 would vote yes now. :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmmm.

We should be careful of this nonsense. It wouldn't surprise me if this was just another piece of Unionist crap that they'll use to paint the SNP as 'extremists' come the next elections.

Sturgeon should avoid trumpeting these results around, and should get on with the business of governing Scotland sensibly with substantial new powers. That'll do more for the independence movement than any daft poll.

Great post.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...


×
×
  • Create New...