Clyde1998 Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 (edited) YouGov: Constituency SNP - 46% (+1%) LAB - 28% (-4%) CON - 12% (-2%) LIB - 5% (-2%) Others - 9% Regional SNP - 38% (-6%) LAB - 26% (N/C) CON - 12% (N/C) LIB - 4% (-1%) GRN - 10% (+6%) UKIP - 6% (+5%) SSP - 3% (+2%) Others - 1% Hardly any change since 2011 for the main parties, expect SNP in the regional list - mostly all to the Greens. I think it's that people who vote for a party at Holyrood are deciding to vote for them at Westminster as well... Edited October 31, 2014 by Clyde1998 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErsatzThistle Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Does this mean UKIP may possibly get one or two MSP's if that poll was to become reality ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted October 31, 2014 Author Share Posted October 31, 2014 Does this mean UKIP may possibly get one or two MSP's if that poll was to become reality ? It's hard to tell. The poll doesn't show where the regional votes come from - so it could be a very isolated vote (which would lead to them having a seat or two) or it could be that it's spread out (which could lead to them not having one). The ScotlandVotes website doesn't include a UKIP box, so I don't know how it would play out... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShedTA Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 YouGov: Constituency SNP - 46% (+1%) LAB - 28% (-4%) CON - 12% (-2%) LIB - 5% (-2%) Others - 9% Regional SNP - 38% (-6%) LAB - 26% (N/C) CON - 12% (N/C) LIB - 4% (-1%) GRN - 10% (+6%) UKIP - 6% (+5%) SSP - 3% (+2%) Others - 1% Hardly any change since 2011 for the main parties, expect SNP in the regional list - mostly all to the Greens. I think it's that people who vote for a party at Holyrood are deciding to vote for them at Westminster as well... it beggars belief that nayone is still voting for Labour. meh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErsatzThistle Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 it beggars belief that nayone is still voting for Labour. meh. Or Lib Dem for that matter. It's hard to tell. The poll doesn't show where the regional votes come from - so it could be a very isolated vote (which would lead to them having a seat or two) or it could be that it's spread out (which could lead to them not having one). The ScotlandVotes website doesn't include a UKIP box, so I don't know how it would play out... Cheers Can just see them daft buggers in the North East returning a UKIP nutcase ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
min Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 That regional vote would mean the end of the SNP majority (it really was a perfect storm in 2011!) and even if the Greens pick up a few more seats, a YES majority is very unlikely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weekevie04 Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 it beggars belief that nayone is still voting for Labour. meh. It seems that under 30% is the "my grandfaither voted Labour" hardcore vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toepoke Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 That regional vote would mean the end of the SNP majority (it really was a perfect storm in 2011!) and even if the Greens pick up a few more seats, a YES majority is very unlikely. I stuck the figures in here:- http://www.scotlandvotes.com/holyrood SNP lose 6 seats but the Greens gain 8 so a comfortable pro-independence majority would remain (and in fact increase). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewelk Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 It seems that under 30% is the "my grandfaither voted Labour" hardcore vote. Ma da ma Granada ma grand das da n ma dug voted labour....so Never understood it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErsatzThistle Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Ma da ma Granada ma grand das da n ma dug voted labour....so Never understood it. Indeed. It's both incredible and depressing that this day and age some people still find thinking for themselves to be hard work ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted October 31, 2014 Author Share Posted October 31, 2014 Using Uniform Swing for both constituency and list votes, the Scottish Parliament would look like this: SNP - 61 + 1 = 62 seats (-7) - 3 seats short. LAB - 9 + 25 = 34 seats (-3) CON - 1 + 12 = 13 seats (-2) GRN - 0 + 11 = 11 seats (+9) UKIP - 0 + 6 = 6 seats (+6) LIB - 1 + 2 = 3 seats (-2) Other - 0 + 0 = 0 seats (-1) WAKE UP SCOTLAND! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stapes Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Would love to see the Greens becoming third biggest party at Holyrood. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Armchair Bob Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Would love to see the Greens becoming third biggest party at Holyrood. Would hate to see UKIP get any MSPs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parklife Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 A majority of pro-Indy msp's..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLAS Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 A majority of pro-Indy msp's..... Aye. Well done the Greens. They're definitely in line for their biggest percentage of the Scottish vote, yet. Worked a few times with Patrick Harvey and he always came across as passionate about his party as he did for independence in the debates. He's maybe unintentionally used his performances to garner support for what his party believe in, so fair play, even if it does mean a small %age loss for the SNP vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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