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Stv: Snp Would Win 54 Seats At Westminster


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you know as good as this Poll is, I would trade every single day and every single event with the Labour Party since the 18th Sept.

We win Referendum and then fall apart, and struggle for a new leader. drop in polls etc.. I would love to be in their position cos it would have meant we would have won the referendum....

I cant really get super happy about this Because we all know Scotland is still getting shafted by London, no matter who we vote for.

Would be exactly what they deserve tho.. although I think the Tories will be back in Scotland next year could get a few seats...

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you know as good as this Poll is, I would trade every single day and every single event with the Labour Party since the 18th Sept.

We win Referendum and then fall apart, and struggle for a new leader. drop in polls etc.. I would love to be in their position cos it would have meant we would have won the referendum....

I cant really get super happy about this Because we all know Scotland is still getting shafted by London, no matter who we vote for.

Would be exactly what they deserve tho.. although I think the Tories will be back in Scotland next year could get a few seats...

My take on it now is if Yes had won, it would have been close. And as such, Scotland would have been fatally divided in the face of a British state which would still have control of many areas and would not hesitate to grab as much as it could, leading potentially to the annexation of Shetland, an encouragement to business of capital flight and a media and establishment led incitement to disobedience towards the new Scottish state.

That's a pessimistic view of a narrow Yes vote but it is hard to see the establishment playing fair if they thought they could get away with some asset stripping and weakening a potential social democratic example within the British isles.

On the other hand, an emphatic demonstration of political will towards a Yes vote would isolate those who would do Scotland over, and make the establishment more amenable to an accommodation.

The job of those who believe in independece is to make the next referendum such a sure thing that it is better for the establishment to make an accommodation with it than fight it.

The job of the establishment is to seize as much as they can from Scotland in the meantime.

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Many over look the shetland problem which i think would be huge, if we could get them onside i think that we are onto a winner, with such a small population would it be that hard to sway them into nationalists?

My take on it now is if Yes had won, it would have been close. And as such, Scotland would have been fatally divided in the face of a British state which would still have control of many areas and would not hesitate to grab as much as it could, leading potentially to the annexation of Shetland, an encouragement to business of capital flight and a media and establishment led incitement to disobedience towards the new Scottish state.

That's a pessimistic view of a narrow Yes vote but it is hard to see the establishment playing fair if they thought they could get away with some asset stripping and weakening a potential social democratic example within the British isles.

On the other hand, an emphatic demonstration of political will towards a Yes vote would isolate those who would do Scotland over, and make the establishment more amenable to an accommodation.

The job of those who believe in independece is to make the next referendum such a sure thing that it is better for the establishment to make an accommodation with it than fight it.

The job of the establishment is to seize as much as they can from Scotland in the meantime.

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As delightful as the STV poll is, I can’t see it happening that way. Labour will begin some kind of a fight-back, whoever wins the leadership contest.

My money’s on Eggy Jim. He’d epitomise the ‘branch office’ factor, but he knows a thing or two about politics. They’ll find a safe Labour seat for him somewhere for 2016. I think Nicola would find him a tougher prospect than either of the other candidates. It’s not going to be dull, whatever happens.

A possible confounding factor is UKIP. That ComRes poll was interesting, but I’d want to know how soft the Labour vote is in seats they currently hold. In Rochdale the Labour vote might be going to UKIP to keep the Tories out [bizarre logic, but then party politics throws these things up].

If Labour lose ground to UKIP in their own seats next year then they could implode before 2016. And a YES alliance cleans up.

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Rochester ;)http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Rochester_&_Strood_published_tables_Oct_2014.pdf

This poll has got 30% of Labour voters from 2010 voting UKIP.

Labour are in trouble.

Thanks for the correction, I'm offshore at the moment and due to a broken down chopper parked on our heli deck for the last couple of days we've had little newspapers.

Not that I read them much anyway.

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Top headline on ITN News there. They're finally realising what's been said on here for ages. Tom Bradby was even quoting Ally Bongo... ;)

ha ha. I just copied and pasted his tweet

well spotted

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I would have Davidson and Curran declarations on a continuous loop for the priceless looks on their faces if they were booted oot.

Sadly, Davidson's seat is one of the few that the poll forecasts Labour will retain.

Wee Magrit's coat could well be on a shoogly peg though.

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