kumnio Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 I very much doubt it, but you never know. http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Orkney%20and%20Shetland http://may2015.com/category/seat-calculator/ If he was chucked out as well, it really would be the icing on the cake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 He deserves to be after his bruiser shite ending with a whimpering performance against Sturgeon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 May2015 predicted majority: 0.05%. I don't know what they're basing it on, but I'd be very surprised if the Northern Isles goes SNP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocky Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 May2015 predicted majority: 0.05%. I don't know what they're basing it on, but I'd be very surprised if the Northern Isles goes SNP. remember 2011. the snp did well, but a 'anti wind farm or some protest dude took a guid few votes.. O and S could join the modern Scotland and go SNP .. but i doubt it..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindimoo Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 The SNP candidate posted that Carmichael and UKIP person failed to show up for a hustings this weekend. Carmichael apparently taken to bed with a bug. The UKIP candidate got the wrong island ....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cove_Sheep Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 The SNP candidate posted that Carmichael and UKIP person failed to show up for a hustings this weekend. Carmichael apparently taken to bed with a bug. The UKIP candidate got the wrong island ....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 remember 2011. the snp did well, but a 'anti wind farm or some protest dude took a guid few votes.. O and S could join the modern Scotland and go SNP .. but i doubt it..... I think Orkney and Shetland were the only two councils in the whole of the UK where the Lib Dem vote share increased in the EU elections - although it was on a tiny turnout... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 The SNP candidate posted that Carmichael and UKIP person failed to show up for a hustings this weekend. Carmichael apparently taken to bed with a bug. The UKIP candidate got the wrong island ....... Gah ha! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnW Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Nobody in Shetland is surprised by this, although to be fair to the UKIP guy he's a fisherman from Orkney and he said right from the outset that he'd be unlikely to make it to Shetland. The Tory is some solicitor fae Melrose who would also be unlikely to get here so fair play to the Labour guy (he's from Aberfoyle) for making the effort. Carmichael was out and about on Friday so his 'bug' must have come on rather quick! Or it could have been down to the fact that the last time we had one of those hustings in the build up to the referendum, Danus Skene(the SNP candidate) completely demolished Carmichael, he calmly took apart everything that Carmichael came out with. The audience split was fairly even with 1/3 Yes/No/Don't know but by the end virtually all the Don't knows had moved to Yes He's hardly been seen in Shetland since campaigning has begun and it hasn't gone unnoticed... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flora MaDonald Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 What's the UKIP guy got to greet about in Orkney? An Indian restaurant? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hertsscot Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Any damage done to Carmichael due to Frenchgate or is he teflon? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flora MaDonald Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Any damage done to Carmichael due to Frenchgate or is he teflon? Been rarely seen since it. Awaiting outcome of inquiry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pool Q Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 I heard a guy on a phone-in on Radio Scotland on Friday, calling in support of UKIP and against immigration, the EU and the free movement of labour. Put to one side the fact that he was English calling from Shetland (he's absolutely entitled to live and work there, same as the rest of us) I couldn't help but wonder why someone living up there would be concerned about an influx of immigrants into the UK. Maybe he had to go that far to get away from all the foreigners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Orkney%20and%20Shetlan I love stuff like this - I'll no doubt waste too much time at work tomorrow perusing it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scunnered Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 What's the UKIP guy got to greet about in Orkney? An Indian restaurant? EU fishing regulations I'd imagine, but I'm no expert on the subject. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacobite Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 They talk about how embedded Labour are in Glasgow and the west but if the SNP can take this seat then its a walkover. Jo Grimond's legacy still lives on in that seat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 (edited) Im not too sure about those forecasts For starters it suggests Frank Roy is going to hold Motherwell & Wishaw which would be really surprising. Also Ashcroft suggested the SNP were going to win Kircaldy & Cowdenbeath (Brown's old seat) Think it's more realistic when it comes to Maigrit and Murphy though Edited April 19, 2015 by Ally Bongo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnW Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Any damage done to Carmichael due to Frenchgate or is he teflon? My Mother, a staunch No voter who's always voted Libdem, stunned me by saying she's thinking of voting SNP because of Frenchgate, so he's not teflon but it'll be a huge ask so I've been rubbishing Carmichael and the fibdems at every chance! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robroysboy Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 If he was chucked out as well, it really would be the icing on the cake. karma, he can join the dole queue along with Murphy. Also how can ruth davison be the tory leader in scotland when there is only 1 MP ? Crazy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Endell Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 karma, he can join the dole queue along with Murphy. Also how can ruth davison be the tory leader in scotland when there is only 1 MP ? Crazy? Why can't she be? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde1998 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 (edited) http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Orkney%20and%20Shetland We're losing Shetland South (the only ward the SNP are behind in according to this). If we can convert one Lib Dem voter - we're winning everywhere. Realistically, I'd be happy with a strong second in the Northern Isles. Edited April 19, 2015 by Clyde1998 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hampden_loon2878 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 What's the UKIP guy got to greet about in Orkney? An Indian restaurant? The way the EU have stolen our waters!!! I have witnessed this first hand, yhat why the snp have lost a lot of fishermens vote as they were against the CFP but then back tracked on this to suck up to the green party,,, saying that i know of that orkney lad and cant see how anyone could vote for him Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnW Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 The way the EU have stolen our waters!!! I have witnessed this first hand, yhat why the snp have lost a lot of fishermens vote as they were against the CFP but then back tracked on this to suck up to the green party,,, saying that i know of that orkney lad and cant see how anyone could vote for him But they will vote for him, didn't he at least save his deposit in the last election? The SNP haven't dealt very well with the fishing and that's one big issue that's killing support up here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ally Bongo Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 But they will vote for him, didn't he at least save his deposit in the last election? The SNP haven't dealt very well with the fishing and that's one big issue that's killing support up here. Scotland doesnt have any vote on EU fishing policy ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robroysboy Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Why can't she be? There is one Westmisnster tory MP in scotland and its not her. Its a guy called David Mundell. Just read she is an scottish member of parliament. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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